Omonia got off to a perfect start in the Europa League group stage with a 1-0 victory over Celta, and Football Meets Data provided its predictions regarding the “Greens’” standings after the eight games of the first phase.
According to the projection, the “clover” will accumulate 7 points with a record of one win, 4 draws, and 3 losses, and will finish in 26th place, meaning they will not advance to the next phase
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UEL single-outcome projection]
Instead of a probabilistic approach, this table shows deterministic rankings where you must assign a single Win, Draw, or Loss outcome to each match.
AdvertisementIt is based on pre-match WDL percentages, adjusted for the expected number of draws in the… pic.twitter.com/iqAq4LTXzp
— Football Meets Data (@fmeetsdata) September 17, 2026
As the popular website reports, direct qualification for the “Round of 16”— that is, finishing in positions 1–8, will be determined 44.6% by 15 points, 25.8% by 16 points, and 25.5% by 14 points.
As for the cutoff for playoff qualification—that is, for positions up to and including 24th in the League Phase—9 points will be sufficient 54.1% of the time, 10 points 28% of the time, and 8 points 16.6% of the time.
According to Football Meets Data, Omonia has a 64.5% chance of finishing among the top 24 teams in the League Phase, while its chances of finishing in the top 8 are estimated at 10.6%.
UEL
Top 8 and Top 24 chances after the first night of Matchday 1.*Teams
Advertisementare sorted by their Top 24 probability pic.twitter.com/pZ85a61akJ
— Football Meets Data (@fmeetsdata) September 16, 2026

UEL single-outcome projection]