At the end of Matchday 2 of the Europa League Group Stage, Omonia sits near the top of the standings, having secured its second consecutive victory, this time with a 3-0 win over Celje.
With the “Greens” having already accumulated six points, Football Meets Data calculated approximately how many points are needed to qualify via the top 24, as well as for a spot in the top 8.
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Specifically, 9 points give a 68.6% chance of making the top 24, while any team that earns 10 points is 100% guaranteed to advance to the next round.
As for the top 8, there is a 36.7% chance of qualifying with 15 points, while 16 points significantly increase those odds (80.5%).
Significant fall in probability that 1⃣5⃣ pts will be enough for Top 8. 1⃣6⃣ pts also fell, now at 81%. In Top 24 race, rise in probability for 9⃣ pts (now 69%) and 🔟 pts (now 97%). These are competition-wide averages. Not every team has the same probability to qualify per points won. This mostly depends on the projected goal difference each team has. 👉 Full team-level projections for all 36 🟠 UEL teams available in our 🕹️ Simulator
— Football Meets Data (@fmeetsdata) October 16, 2026
