Last night’s matches for Cyprus’s two representatives in the Europa League and Conference League resulted in one draw and one loss. In the first game of the night, Omonia failed to come away with a positive result from Belgium, suffering a 1-0 loss to Sint-Truiden. On the other hand, the “Blues” from Paphos managed to equalize and secure a 1-1 draw at Dinamo City’s home stadium, bringing the qualification decision to the “Alphamega Stadium.”
After the first leg matches concluded, the Football Meets Data supercomputer made its own predictions regarding the potential advancement of Cypriot teams to the group stage of the Europa League and Conference League.
Following yesterday’s loss, the “clover” has a 36% chance of advancing against Sint-Truiden, while the Belgians maintain a high probability of 64%. On the other hand, Paphos’s draw has put them firmly back on track for qualification, with Ricardo Sa Pinto’s team still considered the favorite. The Paphos team’s chances of advancing stand at 81%. In contrast, the Albanian team has only a 19% chance of turning the tables.
[Early probabilities after
UEL PO 1st legs]
Two
Polish teams are the closest to the UEL group stage!
AdvertisementMany matchups have heavy favorites to advance.
Full analysis of probabilities and scenarios in our Simulator pic.twitter.com/bBclj4Ad2S
— Football Meets Data (@fmeetsdata) August 20, 2026
[Early probabilities following
UECL Playoff First Legs – Main Path]
Freiburg are the closest to reaching the group stage!
Advertisement
Brann vs. PAOK
is a coin flip!
*Totals may differ from 100% due to rounding
Full analysis of probabilities and scenarios in our Simulator pic.twitter.com/jr8pICc117
Advertisement— Football Meets Data (@fmeetsdata) August 20, 2026
UEL PO 1st legs]
Polish teams are the closest to the UEL group stage!
Full analysis of probabilities and scenarios in our Simulator pic.twitter.com/bBclj4Ad2S
UECL Playoff First Legs – Main Path]
Freiburg are the closest to reaching the group stage!
Brann vs. PAOK
is a coin flip!