Greece is the overwhelming favorite to finish in the top two of its Nations League group, according to Football Meets Data, which would mean it would advance to the quarterfinals of the tournament.
According to the platform, the Greek national team has an 88.1% chance of making it to the tournament’s quarterfinals, but it is most likely to do so as the group’s runner-up, behind the Netherlands, whom they face on Friday in Amsterdam.
ΣΧΕΤΙΚΑ ΑΡΘΡΑ
If this prediction holds true, Greece will enter the quarterfinal draw with potential opponents including the winners of Groups A, C, and D. According to Football Meets Data’s projections, those teams will be Spain, Portugal, and France.
The date for the knockout stage draw has not yet been specified; however, the first leg of the quarterfinals is scheduled for March 25–27, and the second leg for March 28–30.
The Final Four of the 2026–27 Nations League is scheduled for June 9–13, 2027, and will be hosted by one of the four teams that advance to the final phase.
— Football Meets Data (@fmeetsdata) November 10, 2026
Nations League: projected group standings in all four leagues, with two matchdays left (12-17 Nov). League A, reach the quarter-finals: 99.4%
France 88.1%
Greece 84.4%
Netherlands 58.8%
Denmark 55.8%
Belgium (
Spain and
Portugal are through)
Relegated, directly or via the play-off:
Czechia 91.4%,
Türkiye 82.6%,
Serbia 71.7% League by league
*photo source: AP
