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12.11.2026 12:05
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11.11.2026
POLITICS
22:03

Alpha poll: Christodoulides leads in all scenarios for the 2028 presidential election, amid a fluid political landscape

What does the major survey on trends among potential candidates in the first and second rounds reveal?
ALPHANEWSLIVE


A major poll conducted by Rai Consultants on behalf of Alpha Cyprus shows Nikos Christodoulides leading in all scenarios for the 2028 presidential election, fifteen months before the crucial election takes place and before the final list of candidates and party alliances is determined.

The results of the third part of the survey, which tracks voter preferences for the first and second rounds of the February 2028 election, were presented tonight on the station’s Main News Broadcast by Olympios Toumazou, Chairman of the Board of Directors of Rai Consultants, and commented on by political analyst Marina Oikonomidou.

  • PART ONE: RAI POLL: Citizens evaluate the President and his work
  • PART TWO: Alpha Poll: Averof Holds a Clear Lead Over Pamporidis—How Will Christodoulides’ Voters Vote?

In the first scenario of the first round of the 2028 Presidential Election, featuring candidates Nicos Christodoulides, Andreas Mavrogiannis, Averof Neophytou, Odysseas Michaelides, and Christos Christou, the President of the Republic comes in first with 28%. The former Greek Cypriot negotiator garners 22%, the former DISY president receives 20%, the leader of Almas 9%, and the president of ELAM 6%.

Five percent choose a blank or invalid ballot, while 2% choose to abstain. Six percent say they are undecided, and 1% do not respond.

In the second scenario for the first round of the 2028 presidential election, with John Christodoulou in the race and garnering 4%, Nikos Christodoulides once again takes the lead with 27%, Andreas Mavrogiannis with 23%, Averof Neophytou with 19%, Odysseas Michaelides with 9%, and Christos Christou with 6%.

SEE ALSO: Hatzikyriakos analyzes the Alpha poll: The Averof-Pamporidis battle, Annita’s supporters, and age groups

In the third scenario for the first round of the 2028 Presidential Election, with Giorgos Pamporidis running instead of Averof Neophytou as the Democratic Alarm’s candidate, the President of the Republic receives 30%, Andreas Mavroyiannis 24%, Odysseas Michaelides 11%, George Pamporidis 9%, as does Christos Christou.

In the fourth scenario of the first round of the 2028 Presidential Election, featuring DIKO President Nikolas Papadopoulos, who receives 5% and Averof Neophytou as the DISY candidate garnering 19%, the President of the Republic’s share stands at 26%, followed by Andreas Mavroyiannis with 23%. Odysseas Michaelides takes fourth place with 7%, and Christos Christou takes fifth with 6%.

In the fifth scenario for the first round of the 2028 Presidential Election, featuring the candidacy of DIKO President Nikolas Papadopoulos and Giorgos Pamporidis as a DISY candidate, the results are as follows:

  • Nikos Christodoulides 27%
  • Andreas Mavrogiannis 23%
  • Giorgos Pamporidis 11%
  • Odysseas Michaelides 10%
  • Christos Christou 8%
  • Nikolas Papadopoulos 6%

Of particular interest are the trends among the candidates for the Presidency of the Republic, following the decision by DISY President Annita Dimitriou to withdraw from the party’s internal race for the “nomination” at Pindarou.

  • Averof Neophytou was polling at 17% last September, while today his support has risen to 20%
  • Nikos Christodoulides was at 26%, while today he stands at 28%.
  • Odysseas Michaelides has seen his support drop from 12% to 9%.

As for the scenarios for the second round of the 2028 presidential election, Nikos Christodoulides appears to be in the lead, with Andreas Mavrogiannis and Averof Neophytou as his opponents.

  • In the first scenario, the President of the Republic garners 45% compared to the 38% received by Mr. Mavrogiannis
  • In the second scenario, Nikos Christodoulides receives 40%, compared to 35% for Averof Neophytou
  • In the third scenario, Andreas Mavroyiannis emerges as the winner with 41%, compared to Averof Neophytou, who receives 36%
  • In the fourth scenario, Andreas Mavrogiannis again takes first place with 42%, compared to Giorgos Pamboridis, who garners 32%

It is worth noting that, based on comparative data regarding public opinion in September and October, the gap between Andreas Mavroyiannis and Averof Neophytou has narrowed in favor of the latter.

The poll was conducted with 701 successful interviews between October 23 and 30, 2026.

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