Fifteen months before the presidential election, Nikos Christodoulides leads in all scenarios for the October 28 election, according to a poll by Rai Consultants conducted on behalf of Alpha. The survey was conducted from October 23 to 30 through 701 successful interviews.
FIRST ROUND
In the first scenario of the first round, featuring candidates Nicos Christodoulides, Andreas Mavroyiannis, Averof Neophytou, Odysseas Michaelides, and Christos Christou, the President of the Republic comes in first with 28%. He is followed by Andreas Mavrogiannis with 22% and Averof Neophytou with 20%.
In the second scenario, in which John Christodoulou participates and garners 4%, Nikos Christodoulides once again takes the lead with 27%. Andreas Mavrogiannis receives 23%, Averof Neophytou 19%, followed by Odysseas Michaelides (9%) and Christos Christou (6%).
In the third scenario, with Giorgos Pamporidis running as the Democratic Alarm candidate, the President of the Republic’s support rises to 30%, Andreas Mavroyiannis secures 24%, Odysseas Michaelides 11%, and George Pamporidis is in fourth place with 9%, tied with Christos Christou.
In the fourth scenario, Nikolas Papadopoulos is included and receives 5%, Averof Neophytou garners 19%, while Nikos Christodoulides’ share rises to 26%. Andreas Mavrogiannis follows with 23%.
And finally, in a fifth scenario, with a decline in support for the DIKO President (6%) and Giorgos Pamboridis (11%), Nikos Christodoulides would receive 27% and Andreas Mavrogiannis, 23%.
DIMITRIS DIMITRIOU—DISY
Parliamentary Spokesperson: ““We’re not discussing what we’ll do in the second round, because we’re certain our candidate will be in the second round.”
MARINA SAVVA—Member of the AKEL Central Committee: “Mr
. Christodoulides is starting out by calling himself the ‘winner in every scenario,’ etc. First of all, let me say that he’s the only one running a campaign; it’s a bit difficult to run on your own and finish in second place.”
ANDREAS PAPACHARALAMBOUS—ELAM Member of Parliament: “There
is the possibility of running independently, and there is also the possibility that another proposal will be formulated.”
CHRYSIS PANTELIDIS—DIKO Member of Parliament: “The
Democratic Party has the option of supporting President Christodoulides or running independently; these are the facts as I see them at this moment.”
FIRST ROUND
In the second round, under both scenarios, Nikos Christodoulides secures the highest percentage of the vote compared to his opponent. He garners 45% compared to 38% for Andreas Mavrogiannis and 40% compared to 35% for Averof Neophytou.
In the third scenario, Andreas Mavrogiannis emerges as the winner with 41% against Averof Neophytou (36%)
, and in the fourth scenario, Andreas Mavrogiannis comes in first with 42%, compared to George Pamporidis (32%).

ANDREAS MAVROGIANNIS—Former
Negotiator““If you compare this to where we were in 2022, much closer to the election, and where we’ve ended up now, well, I think this poll shows me as President.”
Andreas Mavrogiannis, however, is set to announce in January whether or not he will run for President in 2028.
Watch Nasia Ioannou’s report:
READ ALSO: “It Makes Me President”: How Mavrogiannis Viewed the Alpha Poll and What He Would Do Differently Starting in 2023 | AlphaNews
