Greece finished this four-game stretch in Group 2 of League A of the Nations League undefeated and is tied at the top with the Netherlands with eight points, while Germany has five.
The “blue-and-whites” secured third place, which guarantees a spot in the first pot for the Euro 2028 qualifiers, and will now give it their all in the two remaining matches against the Netherlands and Serbia to finish in the top twothat leads to the Nations League quarterfinals.
ΣΧΕΤΙΚΑ ΑΡΘΡΑ
In fact, according to Football Meets Data, Ivan Jovanović’s team has an 88.1% chance of making it to the tournament’s “top 8.” As for its position in the group, it has a 58.9% chance of finishing second and a 29.2% chance of finishing in first place.
The Netherlands
(+5%) and Greece
(+9%) have both moved a little closer to the quarterfinals.
Germany
has seen its chances of finishing in the top two drop by 14% and will lose the head-to-head tiebreaker to Greece
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…there is a possibility of a three-way tie at the top (11-11-11), which would be decided by the goal difference in matches between
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, last place seems inevitable, but any point they can earn could be crucial to saving them from direct relegation in the battle against
.
— Football Meets Data (@fmeetsdata) October 4, 2026
*photo source: AP
