Football meets data: Panathinaikos is the heavy favorite to reach the top 8

After the perfect streak

ALPHANEWSLIVE

Panathinaikos continued its impressive winning streak with a 3-1 against CSKA Sofia at the OAKA, and with a 3-0 record in the Conference League, they are the overwhelming favorites to finish in the top eight of the League Phase.

According to Football Meets Data, the “Greens” are 100% certain to advance to the knockout stage, that is, among the top 24 teams in the League Phase standings, while they have a 60.8% chance of finishing in the Top 8, which would… save them a round in the knockout stage. In fact, following yesterday’s victory, their chances of doing so have increased by 10.6%.

Jacob Nistrup’s team is projected to reach 12.6 points (they already have 9) after their three remaining matches, with a road game against Nordjylland (11/26), Freiburg away (12/10), and Brighton at home (12/17).

Only five teams have a better chance than Panathinaikos of finishing in the top eight of the League Phase: Monaco (91.8%), Twente (83.9%), Lugano (77%), Brighton (76.5%), and Copenhagen (64.8%).

[ UECL projections after MD3] Changes in Top 8: IN: Ajax, Freiburg OUT: Trabzonspor, Atalanta Changes in Top 24: IN: Riga OUT: Pafos *Teams are ordered on average final points from 100K simulations https://t.co/NmadPM4noK
— Football Meets Data (@fmeetsdata) November 5, 2026